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by Mike Hudson

His Old Time Religion was right after all.

It all seems so long ago!  On October 23, 2008, Alan Greenspan choked up a mea culpa for his deregulatory policy as Federal Reserve Chairman.  “Those of us who have looked to the self-interest of lending institutions to protect shareholders’ equity, myself included, are in a state of shocked disbelief,” he told the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform.  “The whole intellectual edifice, however, collapsed in the summer of last year.”

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by David Malone

The problem with saying the headline of this piece out loud is that as soon as you do, a great clucking flock of Chicken Littles come speeding out of their corners, kicking up dust and confusion and drowning out any attempt to discuss the issue beneath a frenzy of shrill cries of "Don't listen to the madman. If you do the sky will fall on our heads.  All the banks will burn down, the ATMs will all stop working, our houses will be repossessed, all our pensions - Oh woe! - all our pensions will be seized and eaten by a rampaging army of angry vengeful bond holders and we will never, ever in the whole future of the universe be allowed to borrow money from the bond market ever again, till the end of time."

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by David Malone


The Irish banks need €24 billion. So now we know. WHAT?!  Until we know WHY the losses keep on appearing like poisonous toadstools in the dark, then we know nothing.

Does anyone imagine that the reason why we now find that the banks need more money is because the previous four times the government inspectors simply miscounted how much was missing?  This is getting frustrating. It's like watching a simpleton who doesn't realise you need to put a plug in the bottom of the bath, wondering why it won't stay full.  Every time he finds, to his amazement, that the level has gone down, he measures how much has mysteriously gone missing this time and tells his mate, "6 inches will do it. For sure."

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by David Malone

The free market ideology of Friedman and his like became enshrined in international agreement in 1995 when governments signed the Uruguay round of GATT (the General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs). In most countries the agreement was signed without any public debate or even awareness of what was being signed and decided. In the UK there was virtually no parliamentary debate. And yet this agreement created the World Trade Organisation as a power above nations and set the principles of free trade on a par with the idea of justice - in that, like justice, nations were held to be subservient to the ideals and regulations of free trade.

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by David Malone

Are we all in this together?  Well only in the sense that in a drive-by shooting the killer, victim and gun are all in it together - just on different ends of it.  Same with our recovery.  We're all in it, but one man's efficiency saving, is another's unemployment.

Eurostat, the European agency which gathers and monitors economic data across the EU has just released a study on what it calls 'International Sourcing'.

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by David Malone

It is time to look ahead.  Not because there isn't quite enough going wrong right now to occupy us all, but because I am tired of being taken by surprise.  It is time to stop reacting to events and at least try to guess what consequences are going to unfold from what has already happened and what the financial class might be thinking of next.

In the past I have argued that securitization is the Undead Heart (plus part 2, part 3) of the present financial system.  Even if you don't buy my particular take on securitization there is no doubting its critical importance to modern banking and the broader financial system.  Which does beg the question - what is happening to it now and where is it going?

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by David Malone

The Irish are now openly saying they want to make the senior bond holders take some of the bank losses.  That is most definitely not in the European Financial Class's game plan.  Neither France nor Germany nor the UK will like the sound of it.  Because for senior bond holders read their banks, big funds and insurance companies.

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