By a Newsnet reporter 
Analysis of the most recent Scottish voting intentions shows the SNP now has virtually the same support as that of all three pro-Union opposition parties combined, for the European elections
Polling conducted by ICM for the Scotsman newspaper has revealed that support for the SNP has surged to 43% (+14) since the last EU elections, leaving the party with a 19 point lead over main rivals Labour.

The 43% total is almost identical to the 44% combined total of Labour on 24% (+3), Conservatives on 14% (-3) and the Lib Dems who are on 6% (-6).  The Scottish Greens currently have 4% support (-3).

According to analysis of the new figures, Scotland could gain its first Asian woman MEP.

Commenting, SNP Business Convener Derek Mackay MSP said:

“Coming on the back of a significant boost in support for Yes, this is extremely welcome news for the SNP.

“This very encouraging poll – after nearly seven years in government – underlines the hard work undertaken by the SNP in representing the interests of Scotland at home and in Europe.

“There is a long way to go and we take nothing for granted, but the strength in SNP support is illustrated by the fact that on these figures Scotland would gain its first woman Asian MEP, with a third SNP member.”

The slump for the Lib Dems has moved Willie Rennie’s party to fifth in Scotland, behind UKIP who are one per cent ahead.  If replicated in the EU elections, the poll result would leave the Scottish Lib Dems with no MEPs.

Mr MacKay added: “The poll also shows that Scotland decisively rejects the politics of UKIP – their vote has hardly shifted since 2009, and it comes on the heels of another lost deposit in the Cowdenbeath by-election. 

“Westminster is operating to a right-wing UKIP agenda that is threatening to drag Scotland out of the EU and single European market against our will, which only a Yes vote can protect Scotland from.”

The survey also revealed that people in Scotland reject leaving the European Union by a substantial margin of 46 per cent to 33 per cent, which contrasted with results from south of the border which indicated a majority in favour of leaving the EU.

According to the survey, most people in England are in favour of leaving the EU by a margin of 46 per cent to 37 per cent.


Marga B
2014-01-27 19:14

OT, but today the IFLRY – International Federation of Liberal Youth – have passed a motion in favour of the Scottish and Catalan referendums.

Their policy statement has a section on Stateless Nations’ right to decide their own political future – interesting reading.…/…

The Liberal Group in the EU (with a Scot as (former?) leader, has already come out for the independence of Scotland and Catalonia.
2014-01-27 21:10

Whilst the rise for the SNP is really good, there are a couple of things I find depressing about this.

Firstly that the Greens are down.

Secondly that anyone would vote for the LibDems at all.

That LYMEC policy statement looks really interesting Marga, I’ve downloaded it for a read, but probably won’t get time until the weekend. Thanks.
2014-01-28 09:52

Totally agree with you on both counts, would be great to see the the Greens push the Lib Dems into 5th.

As it is I imagine people jumping from Lib Dem to Labour while SNP take votes from everyone.

I will be very much saddened if UKIP do see this supposed 2% gain though as it would see them claw back their losses from the 2009 vote, if it does happen though I wouldn’t be surprised to see it come as a result of the handful of BNP voters that still existed in 2009 wanting to back the new headline grabbing English Right party.

You must be logged-in in order to post a comment.